Georgia Football: One stat that proves Georgia will beat Kentucky

AUBURN, ALABAMA - SEPTEMBER 30: Carson Beck #15 of the Georgia Bulldogs looks to pass against the Auburn Tigers during the fourth quarter at Jordan-Hare Stadium on September 30, 2023 in Auburn, Alabama. (Photo by Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images)
AUBURN, ALABAMA - SEPTEMBER 30: Carson Beck #15 of the Georgia Bulldogs looks to pass against the Auburn Tigers during the fourth quarter at Jordan-Hare Stadium on September 30, 2023 in Auburn, Alabama. (Photo by Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images) /
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Georgia football takes on Kentucky this Saturday. The game is between two unbeaten teams and a massive game for the SEC East title. This is not the first time these two teams have been unbeaten and squared off. The last time Georgia and Kentucky played in Sanford Stadium, 2021, Both were unbeaten and in the top 15. Georgia beat the Wildcats and won the national title that year.

Unlike 2021, however, Georgia did not look vulnerable and had an opponent run for over 200 yards on them the week before. So, Georgia fans were not worried about losing to the Wildcats. But many in Dawg Nation have been extremely pessimistic about the Dawgs’ chances of winning this game against Kentucky.

Recently, on social media platforms, I have seen a ton of negativity about this year’s team. Those people have every right to be negative; they are fans, just like the rest of us. We also know the Georgia fan base can be negative at times.

But Georgia is going to be okay in this game. I genuinely believe that to be the case. The Dawgs have been banged up all season and are starting to get healthy. So, do not call me a Disney Dawg fan in the comments because I am more optimistic about Georgia. Many people this week will come out with models of this game and use stats from this year, and many of those models will have Georgia losing to Kentucky.

Numbers and stats are OK; they give you insight into what the teams will look like when they match up. But here is the stat that matters, and the only stat to me that matters: Blue-Chip Ratio. 

The Blue-Chip Ratio is almost fail-proof because it takes into account the players. Ever heard the saying, “It’s not about x’s and o’s, it’s about the Jimmy and Joe’s?” Well, that is true in College football. The Blue-Chip Ratio considers how many 4-star and 5-star players you have on that season’s roster. Do you know where Georgia is on that list? They are at #3 with 77%. Guess what percentage they had last year? That is right, the Dawgs were at  77%.

You might say, “Well, Max, Georgia was in a knife fight with Auburn last week, and Auburn isn’t all that talented.” While I agree with you that Auburn is not a good team, Auburn is in the top 16 on The Blue-Chip Ratio, with 51%! So, it is not a surprise Auburn played well against the Dawgs because of the match-up. Furthermore, Auburn was a team that got embarrassed on the road and was playing in front of their home crowd. Some call that a wounded animal game; others call it a desperate team trying to hold onto their season.

So, is Kentucky in the top 16? No, they are not. So stop worrying about the Dawgs. The style in which Kentucky plays is not a great match-up against the Dawgs, either. They have been this physical team for seven years and have not beaten Georgia. Nobody is going to out-physical a Georgia football team led by Kirby Smart. It’s never going to happen.

It’s okay to be concerned about how well the Dawgs have played at times this year. But this team is extremely talented and a work in progress. This could be the game where the Dawgs show the rest of the nation why they are still the Kings of College Football.

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