Take that for data! The absolute best part about college football is the only numbers that truly matter are each game's final score. So far, Georgia is 7-1 on the season, 5-1 in SEC play, and only has a three-point loss at home to Alabama on its strong College Football Playoff resume. With four games left to be played, Georgia has a few more opportunities to improve its stock, while seeing others fall.
But for whatever reason, those who love to throw a random assortment of numbers at us clearly hate this program. All jokes aside, but Georgia has been one of the hardest teams to quantify this season. It has taken many brainiac's noodles and done turned them into a Dan Wetzel pretzel?! Maddening for sure, but not as maddening as it would be for Georgia to face Alabama in the national quarterfinals...
Here is what ESPN's Bill Connelly believes are the most likely seeds in Tuesday's first playoff rankings.
- Ohio State Buckeyes (8-0): Projected Big Ten champion
- Indiana Hoosiers (9-0): Projected Big Ten runner-up
- Texas A&M Aggies (8-0): Projected SEC champion
- Alabama Crimson Tide (7-1): Projected SEC runner-up
- Georgia Bulldogs (7-1): Projected SEC at-large
- Oregon Ducks (7-1): Projected Big Ten at-large
- Ole Miss Rebels (8-1): Projected SEC at-large
- BYU Cougars (8-0): Projected Big 12 champion
- Texas Tech Red Raiders (8-1): Projected Big 12 runner-up
- Notre Dame Fighting Irish (6-2): Projected national independent at-large
- Louisville Cardinals (7-1): Projected ACC champion
- North Texas Mean Green (8-1): Projected AAC/Group of Five champion
Connelly then ran through 10,000 simulations of how this playoff bracket would shake it. While he does have Georgia advancing past North Texas in Athens in the No. 5 vs. No. 12 game (well, duh!), he has the Bulldogs falling to their perpetual nemesis of Alabama in the Sugar Bowl in the national quarterfinals in the No. 4 vs. No. 5 game. It is why Georgia must get on the other side of the bracket!
To add insult to injury, you are never going to guess how little stock Connelly has in UGA winning it all.
Georgia really needs to get on the other side of the playoff bracket here
Connelly then shared the hypothetical title odds based on the bracket he layed out for us all above.
- No. 1 Ohio State Buckeyes (30.6 percent)
- No. 2 Indiana Hoosiers (28.2 percent)
- No. 6 Oregon Ducks (12.4 percent)
- No. 3 Texas A&M Aggies (7.4 percent)
- No. 4 Alabama Crimson Tide (6.8 percent)
- No. 9 Texas Tech Red Raiders (5.6 percent)
- No. 5 Georgia Bulldogs (3.0 percent)
- No. 10 Notre Dame Fighting Irish (2.4 percent)
- No. 7 Ole Miss Rebels (1.7 percent)
- No. 8 BYU Cougars (1.1 percent)
- No. 11 Louisville Cardinals (0.4 percent)
- No. 12 North Texas Mean Green (0.2 percent)
On what planet in the Milky Way Galaxy should the Oregon Ducks have a 12.4-percent chance, folks?!
Admittedly, seeing Texas Tech being 2.6 percent more likely to win it all is quite damning, too. Are there other teams getting jobbed by these percentages besides Georgia? Ole Miss deserves more than a 1.7-percent at winning it all. Alabama only being given a 6.8-percent chance is a bit lower than expected. Not to say this is Big Ten/SEC bias, but Oregon should have a 5.0-percent chance at best!
To tie a bow on this, we have plenty of time for this all to either come to fruition or be totally rectified. It is so hard to beat a team twice in one year. Then again, Georgia beat Texas twice last year, and neither of those games were in Athens. There is a chance Alabama could be Georgia twice, maybe even three times, without one of those contests even being in Tuscaloosa. UGA has to avoid Bama!
The reason Georgia only has a 3-percent chance to win it all as the No. 5 seed is because of Alabama.