Make it make sense! Nine weeks into the 2025 college football season, there are four teams who are effectively locks to make the College Football Playoff this point, as well as two that are almost locks, and two others that are in a fantastic position to do so. Alabama, Indiana, Ohio State and Texas A&M all have better than a 90-percent shot to make the 12-team playoff field, based solely on ESPN's FPI.
Georgia is in that next tier with the Oregon Ducks, in and around the 75-percent threshold. BYU and Ole Miss are well above 60 percent, making them the last two teams with better than 50-percent odds of making it in entering the Week 10 slate. Unfortunately, Georgia say its playoff percentages drop from the low 80s to 79.3 percent ahead of Saturday's neutral site affair vs. Florida. What gives?!
Here are Georgia's chances to win every game the rest of the way. Where is this problem child here?
Date | Opponent | Georgia % | Opponent % |
|---|---|---|---|
Nov. 1 | vs. Florida Gators (Jacksonville, FL) | 79.2 | 20.8 |
Nov. 8 | at Mississippi State Bulldogs (Starkville, MS) | 81.1 | 18.9 |
Nov. 15 | vs. Texas Longhorns (Athens, GA) | 58.9 | 41.1 |
Nov. 22 | vs. Charlotte 49ers (Athens, GA) | 99.0 | 1.0 |
Nov. 28 | vs. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (Atlanta, GA) | 77.7 | 22.3 |
That would be the idea of the Texas Longhorns, a team the delightful AP Voters decided to make the top team in the country to start the season. The idea of Texas coincides with the idea of Arch Manning. He is not accurate, an erratic thrower at best. His inability to be trusted as a passer has in turn hurt the Longhorns' rushing attack. This is a team that is fallen ass backwards into a 6-2 record.
Once ESPN comes to grips that this is closer to an 8-4 team than a 10-2 team, Georgia will move up.
The idea of Texas keeps getting ESPN, anyone who backs them in trouble
Of the five opponents left on Georgia's schedule, yes, Texas is arguably the toughest team the Dawgs still have to play. However, this one is Between the Hedges. Georgia beat Texas twice last season, and neither game was in Athens. The Dawgs had their day in Austin defensively, despite Carson Beck having the time of his life throwing one interception after another. Georgia also won the SEC last year.
While the Bulldogs and Longhorns have two new starting quarterbacks, we have seen Gunner Stockton rise to the occasion more often than not at Georgia, while Manning has had a hard time living up to the hype of his last name. In the end, who do you trust to win this game at Sanford in a few weeks: Kirby Smart and his alma mater of Georgia, or Steve Sarkisian hoping to keep Texas on track?
In the end, Texas being valued so highly in ESPN's Football Power Index is having a negative effect on Georgia being even more of a lock to make the playoff. The Longhorns do have a win over arch rival Oklahoma, but they have lost to Ohio State and Florida on the road, in addition to nearly falling to Kentucky and Mississippi State. Texas still has to play Georgia, Vanderbilt and Texas A&M this season.
Should Vanderbilt knock them off on Saturday, this might only be a 7-5 team we are dealing with here.