Calculating Georgia football wins needed for College Football at-large bid
By Josh Yourish
After back-to-back national titles, Georgia came one win short of another bid to the College Football Playoff. Since Kirby Smart took over the Bulldogs have made the four-team CFP three times and have needed at least 12 wins each time.
Yet, even last season 12 wasn’t enough, so with an expanded 12-team playoff, it will be much easier for Smart to lead Georgia to the postseason with a chance to win his third national championship.
The SEC is already the toughest conference, but with the addition of Oklahoma and Texas, the schedule is even harder. According to a graphic from Kelley Ford, of kfordratings.com, Georgia only needs 9 wins to be in the CFP conversation.
How many regular season wins does your team need to be in conversation for a CFP at-large bid?
— Kelley Ford (@KFordRatings) July 3, 2024
*Order within the tier matters. Georgia’s 9 wins would be more impressive than Vanderbilt’s, which would be more impressive than Arkansas’, etc. pic.twitter.com/wuXepya3oG
Where will 9 wins come from for Georgia in 2024
Nine wins should be a given for Georgia, but the schedule is very tough this season. Still, there are three wins on the schedule that are mostly preordained:
- vs. Tennessee Tech
- vs. Mississippi State
- vs. UMass
The next four will be a little bit tougher, but as the favorites to win the SEC and the national title, Georgia should cruise against these three conference foes and one non-conference rivalry:
- at Kentucky
- vs. Auburn
- vs. Florida (neutral)
- vs. Georgia Tech
That has the Bulldogs at seven victories so the next two would put Georgia firmly in the conversation for the CFP:
- vs. Clemson (neutral)
- vs. Tennessee
The remaining games on the schedule will be the toughest. Behind Florida, Georgia has the most difficult schedule in the country including road trips to Tuscaloosa, Austin, and Oxford.
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