There is only one week left in the 2025 college football regular season. It is great to be a Georgia Bulldog! At 10-1 on the season and 7-1 in SEC play, the No. 4 Georgia Bulldogs will enter Clean, Old-Fashioned Hate as a sizable 12.5-point neutral-site favorite over the Ramblin' Wreck of Georgia Tech. Brent Key's Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets suffered their second ACC loss last weekend to Pittsburgh.
While Georgia played in one of the many cupcake weeks across the SEC, the Dawgs needed a break. It had been a bit of a grind since the middle part of September. Georgia played eight conference games in a row with two bye weeks sprinkled in between. They came out on top over Tennessee, Kentucky, Auburn, Ole Miss, Florida, Mississippi State and Texas. Their only loss was to rival Alabama.
So with all that in mind, let's take a look at where things stand when it comes to Georgia's chances of making it back to the College Football Playoff, as well as their chances of playing in the SEC Championship Game in two weeks. Although Georgia does control its College Football Playoff destiny, the Dawgs are going to need some help to get to Atlanta to play in the conference title bout.
Without further ado, here is everything you need to know about Georgia's chances of making both.
What needs to happen for Georgia to make the SEC Championship Game
Let's keep this as simple as possible. Georgia finished SEC play at 7-1. With Alabama at 6-1 and Texas A&M at 7-0 in SEC play, Georgia needs for either the Crimson Tide to lose to Auburn, or for the Aggies to stumble vs. Texas to clinch a spot in the SEC Championship Game. Alabama owns the head-to-head tiebreaker over Georgia, while the Aggies are one of three undefeated teams left.
The reason Georgia would get in over Alabama with a Crimson Tide loss to Auburn is Alabama would finish the regular season at 9-3 (6-2) with conference losses to Oklahoma and Auburn, as well as to Florida State in the non-conference. A loss in the Iron Bowl probably knocks Alabama out of the College Football Playoff field as well. Alabama is a 5.5-point road favorite over its arch rival Auburn.
As for Texas A&M needing to lose to Texas, Georgia and Texas A&M would then have identical records of 11-1 overall and 7-1 in SEC play. While the Aggies and Dawgs did not play each other this season, it would come down to common SEC opponents. Georgia beat Auburn, Florida, Mississippi State and Texas. With a loss to the Longhorns, Texas A&M would be out. Texas A&M will be laying 2.5 at home.
Georgia has a 30.2-percent chance to win the SEC, and only trails Alabama's 39.5-percent chance...
What needs to happen for Georgia to make the College Football Playoff
As far as making the College Football Playoff is concerned, Georgia is effectively a lock to make the 12-team field. ESPN's Football Power Index gives the Dawgs a 98.4-percent chance to make the field. This is fourth behind Ohio State (100.0), Indiana (99.6) and Texas A&M (99.6). Oregon is not far of the Dawgs' trail at 97.1. Georgia unofficially punched its ticket into the playoff with a win over Charlotte.
It is not realistic to think Georgia will not make the playoff. The Bulldogs would need to get blown out in Clean, Old-Fashioned Hate, as well as a ton of other chaos to happen. ESPN's matchup predictor is giving Georgia an 87-percent chance to beat Georgia Tech at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on Black Friday. Georgia is laying 12.5 points vs. the Ramblin' Wreck of Georgia Tech in this game in Atlanta.
While Georgia could be on the outside looking in at the SEC Championship, it is a total playoff lock.