Georgia is back at No. 1 for the second time this season, but this time they are hoping to find more success. The last time they were the No.1 team in the country they lost at home to Auburn, but this week they get a chance at redemption against Missouri.
Missouri is ranked and a much better team than Auburn, but Vegas doesn't think that will matter. In fact, throughout the week they've been adjusting their odds for this matchup to favor Georgia by even more as they are now predicted to win by 16.5 points, according to the DraftKings Sportsbook.
Initial Vegas odds were a mistake
At the start of the week Georgia was only favored by 13.5 points. That is still a large number, especially since Missouri is a ranked team, but recent results show that it probably should've been higher from the jump.
After losing to Auburn the Bulldogs went out and beat two ranked teams in a row rather easily. That began with a neutral site matchup against Florida which they won 27-8 before heading to Ole Miss and winning 42-7 on the road. That Ole Miss result is important to pay attention to for this weekend's spread not only because it was Georgia's most recent game, but because Missouri got blown out by this same Ole Miss team 31-3 earlier this season.
Missouri is also coming off a 14 point loss to Texas last weekend as well. So while Georgia played the best game of their season last week, Missouri is trending down.
Those facts shows that Georgia should've probably been favored by more points at the start of this week, but Vegas has corrected their mistake as the week has gone on.
Georgia should be expected to dominate Missouri
Georgia is playing the best football of their season right now and should expect to beat Missouri easily. Missouri is capable of putting up a good fight, but UGA should still expect to win by a comfortable margin.
The biggest reason why is because their offense and defense are both playing at an extremely high level right now. Their defense is fresh off holding Florida to eight points and Ole Miss to seven points which are two offenses in the SEC who have scored a lot of points throughout the season. If they can slow those two offenses down as much as they did then they can play well against anyone.
Georgia's offense has found a new gear as well over the last week too. Their run game is still dominating teams like they have been, but Gunner Stockton found a new level in the pass game specifically with Talyn Taylor who caught three touchdowns at Ole Mise.
Missouri could beat Georgia, but it isn't likely to happen. Vegas knows this, the college football world knows this and even Missouri probably knows this. That doesn't mean that Saturday is guaranteed to be an easy win, but that should be the expectation when Georgia takes the field.
Game odds adjust periodically and are subject to change.
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